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Economic Update 02-25-2020 On a shortened holiday week, economic data included stronger regional manufacturing results, a rebound in the broader measure of leading economic indicators, and decent housing data. U.S. and foreign equity markets fell back last week as the economic impact of the coronavirus again negatively weighed on market sentiment. However, bonds fared well, […]

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Economic Update 02-18-2020 Economic data for the week included improvements in retail sales, jobless claims, and consumer sentiment; industrial production declined for the month, led by some idiosyncratic factors. Consumer and import price inflation remained tempered, in line with recent trends. U.S. equity markets gained on the week as progress in containment of the coronavirus […]

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Economic Update 02-10-2020 Economic data for the week featured an unexpected rebound in manufacturing sentiment, continued strength in non-manufacturing/services sentiment, as well as an upside surprise for the employment situation report for January. Global equity markets recovered last week, with progress noted on virus containment as well as financial stimulus from the Chinese government. Bonds […]

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Economic Update 01-27-2020 In a lighter week for economic numbers, home prices and sales both increased, while the index of leading economic indicators showed a decline to end the year. Global equity markets all fell due to global concerns over the new outbreak of the coronavirus in China. Bonds, in typical fashion, fared well with […]

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Economic Update 01-21-2020 Economic news for the week included better results from several regional manufacturing indexes as well as stronger housing starts. On par with forecasts were tempered producer and consumer inflation readings, as were retail sales, while industrial production came in on the weaker side. U.S. and foreign equity markets gained, with U.S.-China trade […]

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Economic Update 01-13-2020 Economic data for the week included a stronger than expected ISM non-manufacturing/services survey. While the December employment data came a bit below expectations, it still showed decent growth. U.S. equity markets fared positively, as geopolitical strains with Iran tempered, outperforming foreign developed market stocks, but underperformed emerging markets. Bond markets were little […]

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Economic Update 01-06-2020 Economic data for the turn of the New Year included mixed results in manufacturing, yet stronger construction and housing data, as well as continued strength in labor featured by low jobless claims. U.S. and foreign equity markets ended the week flat to downward, on the heels of geopolitical turmoil in the Middle […]

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Economic Update 10-29-2018 Economic data for the week was highlighted by GDP results for the third quarter that came a bit better than expected, strong durable goods orders and jobless claims, as well as mixed housing and sentiment results. Global equity markets fell sharply again, coupled with higher levels of volatility. Bonds fared well, as […]

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  It’s easy to get caught up in complacency when conditions are good, the sun is shining and the market is rising without interruption. But, as we know intuitively (but often still forget), such parabolic conditions aren’t realistic or even desirable. In theory, markets that moved upward without any risk of an occasional downward slide […]

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  The FOMC decided to raise short-term interest rates by another quarter-percent—the third hike this year—bringing the fed funds target range to 2.00-2.25%. This was largely as expected, with formal probabilities of such a move being pegged at around 95% based on futures markets. There were no dissents. The official statement noted a continued strengthening […]

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